An empirical analysis of the asset price monetary policy transmission channel in South Africa

Abstract

The asset pricing channel of monetary policy transmission breeds an interesting study. There has been an ongoing debate to determine whether monetary policy committees should directly influence the asset pricing channel through changes in the central bank control interest rate or whether monetary policy committees should refrain from targeting the asset pricing channel to meet their policy objectives. The study aims to critically analysis the asset pricing channel, firstly on a global context to set the scene and then to critically focus on the study performed by Muroyiwa et al. (2017) who conducted a study on the South African monetary policy and its interdependence on the stock market through utilisation of an SVAR model. It was concluded that monetary policy does significantly influence stock prices. The purpose of this study is to build on the results which have been formed by Muroyiwa et al. (2017) and to expand on the period under analysis which encapsulates 1999:01 to 2007:12 in order to conclude whether there are conflicting conclusions or conclusions which build on what has already been done. The results from the research shows that when the monetary policy committee decides to influence changes in the repo rate, the repo rate will have a direct effect on the asset markets, the indexes that were used to represent the asset market are the all share index, industrial 15 index and the financial 15 index. Furthermore. The study which has expanded the period under analysis has supplemented and built on the results provided by Muroyiwa et al. (2017).