Explanation in rule-based expert systems

Abstract

The ability of an expert system to explain its reasoning is fundamental to the system's credibility. Explanations become even more vital in systems which use methods of uncertainty propagation. The research documented here describes the development of an explanation sub-system which interfaces with the P.R.O. Expert System Toolkit. This toolkit has been used in the development of three small ecological expert systems. This project has involved adapting the results of research in the field of explanation-generation, to the requirements of the ecologist users. The subsystem contains two major components. The first lists the rules that fired during a consultation. The second component comprises routines responsible for quantifying the effects on the system conclusions of the answers given to questions. These latter routines can be used to perform sensitivity analyses on the answers given. The incorporation of such routines in small expert systems is quite unique